Thursday, November 15, 2007

NFL Picks - Week 11

We regressed a bit last week, posting a 6-8 mark. Not fully damaging, but putting us in need of a big rebound this week. Let's get the ball rolling with these gems:

ATLANTA (+3.5) over Tampa Bay
Falcons show a little toughness at home, enough to stay close to the Bucs.
Buccaneers 20 Falcons 17

CINCINNATI (-3.5) over Arizona
Can't take Cardinals on the road, even against lackluster Bengal team.
Bengals 24 Cardinals 20

Kansas City (+14.5) over INDIANAPOLIS
Look, we know that KC is starting Brodie Croyle, and is also missing Larry Johnson, but we can;t underestimate the loss of Dwight Freeney for Indy, combined with the key losses on the other side of the ball. Peyton Manning surely won;t throw 6 picks, but the hunch is that the Chiefs can put together a decent defensive effort to keep the score down.
Colts 23 Chiefs 13

JACKSONVILLE (-2.5) over San Diego
We're not folled by Chargers - the offense is still not doing a damned thing. Jags, at home, force more hair to fall out of Norv's head.
Jaguars 22 Chargers 14

MINNESOTA (-5.5) over Oakland
Note to selves: Never take the Radiers on the road, unless Vegas is spotting them 20+.
Vikings 24 Raiders 10

Cleveland (-2.5) over BALTIMORE
Browns almost pulled out big W in Pittsburgh, and will not suffer letdown against a bad Raven team.
Browns 24 Ravens 16

GREEN BAY (-9.5) over Carolina
Juggernaut that is The Pack will not be slowed down here. Panthers, once a staunch defensive squad, have been juts plain ordinary thus far, and we won't even mention the issues they have offensively.
Packers 30 Panthers 13

New Orleans (-1.5) over HOUSTON
Not sure why, but something says the Saints will rebound from the debacle last week against the previously winless Rams.
Saints 20 Texans 17

Miami (+10.5) over PHILADELPHIA
Up and Down Eagles now face a "down" week. Dolphins have been losing, but somewhat competitive, and are going with rookie QB this week. Look for Cleo Lemon to be in by the 3rd quarter.
Eagles 21 Dolphins 12

DETROIT (+2.5) over NY Giants
Lions are back home, where they have been deadly efficient bunch. Are the G-Men starting another second half swoon? Maybe, and expect that talk to increase with a loss here.
Lions 24 Giants 21

Pittsburgh (-9.5) over NY JETS
Even though Kellen Clemens has had an extra week to prepare, we just can't see the Jets hanging with a vastly superior team like the Steelers.
Steelers 27 Jets 13

Washington (+10.5) over DALLAS
Possible slight letdown after big win over Giants last week will allow the feisty Skins to keep it closer than it should be. Cowboys are still the class of the conference right now, and will ultimately prevail here.
Cowboys 24 Redskins 17

St. Louis (-2.5) over SAN FRANCISCO
Anyone else think the Rams can run the table, finish 8-8, and win the West? Don't laugh, this division is so bad even the Niners have a shot. Okay, everyone except the Niners has a shot.
Rams 27 49ers 13

SEATTLE (-4.5) over Chicago
Hawks better at home, and would love to payback Bears for 38-0 nationally televised shellacking last season.
Seahawks 20 Bears 10

Buffalo (+15.5) over NEW ENGLAND
C'mon, Bills have to be able to stay close, right? Pats have been obliterating everyone in their path not named Indy thus far, but the rest of the league might be able to catch up to them (or at least slow 'em down).
Patriots 29 Bills 16

Tennessee (+2.5) over DENVER
Two teams we hate to pick - something's gotta give. Since we like the Titans defense better, and feel that the erratic Vince Young has to have a big week sooner or later, we'll go with the visitors.
Titans 17 Broncos 13

Best Bets: Rams, Seahawks, Steelers

Last Week: 6-8
Season Total: 81-63 (56.3%)

Last Week: 1-2
Season Total: 14-10 (58.33%)

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